admin wrote: ↑
29 Mar 2020 19:19
Marco wrote: ↑
29 Mar 2020 19:04
Yeah, I can confirm how scary it is, unfortunately...
Do you have a message from Italy?
(Here in Germany the performance of the government is pretty underwhelming. Few politicians seem to have a clue of what exponential growth means. The resulting regulations are incoherent, inconsequent, too slow, and too weak. Cool, calm and collected is nice when you can afford it, but this is an emergency that calls for speed and determination. My 2c.)
My message is not original at all: stay at home and practice social distancing as strictly, meticolously, I'd say religiously as possible. Also, don't be an hero: if you have a temperature, call a doctor and quarantine yourself. Otherwise you'll potentially kill not only yourself, but all the people around you, among them doctors whose mission is saving lives, in a vicious circle.
Bare numbers just scratch the surface: what does 73k+ infected people mean? Half of them show few symptoms, but are a huge danger because they can infect a lot more people, and the fewer worst cases are people filling intensive care units, leaving no beds for other emergencies. On top of that, doctors are working double or triple shifts, doubling or tripling their chances to being infected. But they're not regular people, they're people who save other people. Without them, nobody lives.
The system is about to collapse. It takes more time to heal than to get infected. What are we going to do when we totally run out of beds? Do we send patients to other States (yes, we are already doing it, thank you Germany*)? Do we treat only those who have the highest chances of surviving?
We are not China. Here in Europe we cannot shutdown entire States like they did. We cannot quarantine every single person, we have to compromise. So we have to, we must, respect rules. This virus is not magic, and while we do not have a complete knowledge of it (but we are getting close to it), we know how it propagates and how much it takes to show up. And so when can beat it by avoiding any form of unnecessary social contact, and properly wearing masks in all the other cases. Ideally it would take just two weeks of such behaviour to estinguish this pandemic. Unfortunately we do not live in an ideal world, it will take longer, but the better we are at following these dead simple rules, the quicker we can go back to our previous lives.
Someone compared COVID19 to chickenpox. I did the same a month ago, comparing it to Herpes or Helicobacter pylori. Yes, they spread fast and relatively easily. But COVID19 kills. It's burdening the NHSs like nothing else. The only way we can stop all this is by staying at home.
In the global world, this is a global emergency. We might as well being facing a 2008 crisis part deux. Here in Italy we gasped in amazement when we read that Germany is ready to unleash 550B € to fight all this, and the US 2000B €. Frankly, what you say is surprising and baffling. The only thing I can say, bordering politics, is that this is not the EU the founding fathers had in mind 70 years ago.
* : this is a real thank you